Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts GOP Upset

By Wayne Allyn Root

November 4, 2018 5 min read

This is my final column before the midterm elections. This former Vegas oddsmaker turned national political commentator has a few predictions and common-sense observations to make.

Back in 2016, I predicted a Donald Trump victory when no one else dared. Every poll showed Trump would lose the presidency to Hillary Clinton by a wide margin. So how did I know?

First: Size matters. You could see it in the rallies. Trump would attract eight-hour lines and overflow attendance at wild, intense rallies all over America.

Meanwhile, the attendees at Clinton's rallies could have fit in my living room. The same held true across America. That was my first clue that Trump was going to pull a huge upset that few saw coming.

Second: Trump was the "whisper candidate." Everywhere I went, people whispered in my ear, "I'm with you. I'm for Trump." They wouldn't tell pollsters. They wouldn't put up yard signs. No bumper stickers on their cars. But they whispered to me.

Don't look now, but it's all happening again. Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight says Democrats have a greater than 80 percent chance of winning the House. The Cook Political Report says Democrats will win the House by 40 seats. All the experts say it's over: Democrats will win. I'll go out on a limb and disagree again.

I see Andrew Gillum, Florida's Democratic candidate for governor, holding a rally with Bernie Sanders, and the place is empty. Barack Obama could not fill a high school gym in Milwaukee. I saw Joe Biden and Obama at separate events here in Las Vegas playing to small crowds. Meanwhile, I was opening speaker for Trump's event at the Las Vegas Convention Center in September — with thousands waiting in line for hours.

Does that sound like the GOP is losing 40 seats? Dream on, delusional Democrats.

Nothing has changed. Trump has fulfilled almost all of his campaign promises. And those same voters are whispering to me again. They love Trump, now more than ever.

Third: Common sense. The Trump economy is booming. The latest results are out: 250,000 more jobs last month, far above what was expected. 32,000 of those jobs are in manufacturing. That's 1,000 new manufacturing jobs per day — the most in October since 1998, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It's the lowest unemployment in half a century. For Hispanics and Latinos, the unemployment rate in October 2018 was the lowest on record, according to BLS. The number of employed Americans is the highest ever. Wages grew by a remarkable 3.1 percent in October, the most in almost a decade. Who in their right mind would vote against that?

That could be why Trump's approval rating among black Americans is now 40 percent, according to Rasmussen Reports.

Most importantly, Trump has brilliantly kept the emotional issue of illegal immigration front and center. He wants to block the caravan, end birthright citizenship and make it much harder for illegal aliens to claim asylum. A poll from NumbersUSA says 65 percent of likely voters in swing districts across the country agree with Trump. The middle class will come out in record numbers for Trump. Bet on it.

In the 2014 midterm election in Texas, 1.7 million people voted early. This year, early voting in Texas numbered more than 4.3 million. With a booming economy and an illegal-alien invasion in the headlines, you think they're coming out for Democrats?

No way, Jose.

I'll go out on a limb again to predict another upset for the GOP on Tuesday. Republicans will expand their Senate majority by three to six seats. It will be very close, but the GOP will hold the House. And America stays bright red. #REDSTORM

Wayne Allyn Root is a CEO, entrepreneur, best-selling author, nationally syndicated talk show host on USA Radio Network and the host of "The Wayne Allyn Root Show" on Newsmax TV nightly at 8 p.m. ET. To find out more about Wayne Allyn Root and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at

Photo credit: at Pixabay

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