creators home
creators.com lifestyle web

Recently

The Japanese Market and Why the Money Supply Pushes up US Stock Prices Dear Mr. Berko: You have said often that the $85 billion a month the Federal Reserve injects into the banking system has forced stock prices to rise. Could you please explain why or how in simple layman's English? Also, could you recommend some …Read more. TIPS and Lost Pension Dear Mr. Berko: How can you recommend Treasury inflation-protected securities? The government claims that inflation is 1.8 percent. That is ridiculous. It's much higher than that. Our homeowners insurance just increased to $7,800 on a home worth $…Read more. Health Insurance Company Investment Dear Mr. Berko: I've worked for the government for 23 years. The government does all my retirement stocks and bonds, and it also gives me a good pension and pays for all my health insurance, which is lucky for me. Last week, my brother told me that …Read more. Stay the Course Dear Mr. Berko: I'm 76, and my husband of 51 years, who was a certified public accountant, died at his desk last February doing tax returns. My husband's broker called to express his condolences and asked me to bring him a death certificate to …Read more.
more articles

Japanese Stocks

Comment

Some readers have asked for my opinion on the Japanese stock market, the Japanese economy and the stocks of Toyota, Mitsubishi, Honda, Canon, Sumitomo and other large Japanese companies. Well, except for a few electronic gadgets, a 310-year-old samurai sword I own, four great Yokohama tires I bought for an SUV, and an old Honda Gold Wing, I don't know much about Japanese products. I've limited my contact with anything Japanese (except for two fantastic sushi restaurants) because I find that most things Oriental are inscrutable. And that's certainly my loss. But I do have a fair understanding of the Japanese economy, which I think has some darn good potential over the coming few years.

The Japanese economy, the third-largest in the world, has muddled through 15 years of deflationary stagflation, largely because of Japanese consumers' tendency to restrain their purchases because they think prices will continue to decline. And during the past 10 years, the Nikkei 225 (equivalent to our Standard & Poor's 500 index) was the worst-performing stock market index of the largest 23 industrialized nations. Since 2002, the Nikkei has posted a return of 34 percent, while the average return for the 22 other stock market indexes has been 137 percent. However, within a year after the 2011 earthquake and tsunami, the market began to turn, and the Nikkei was up 19 percent in 2012.

But Japan still is lingering and needs either a war to put some zip-a-dee-doo-dah into its economy (like our Afghanistan, Vietnam and Iraq) or a massive monetary stimulus. So Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Haruhiko Kuroda at the Bank of Japan (the Japanese equivalent of our Federal Reserve) took a page from President Barack Obama and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. A month ago, they unleashed a massive program of quantitative easing, combined with some radical economic policies called "Abenomics." Some Japanese dissenters call it the hokeypokey. This will more than double the country's money supply and, the Japanese hope, banish deflation, which has dogged Japan for the past 15 years. The Bank of Japan will begin to purchase 7 trillion yen, or $70 billion, of government bonds every month with electronically created money to stoke demand, raise prices and push up wages.

(Now, be mindful that our Fed is stuffing $85 billion a month in the U.S. economy. Also be mindful that Japan's economy is one-third the size of ours, so Japan's $70 billion a month will have three times the impact.) Then, to further jump-start the economy, the Japanese government will increase public spending by 11 percent, hoping that inflation will rise by more than 2 percent by 2015. This is a bold move that could have bold results that could be boldly reflected in Japanese equities. So consider the following Japanese issues, about which most of us round-eyes know very little.

Itochu (ITOCY-$24.65) has been doing things in a Japanese way for more than 150 years and is one of the largest producers of pulp paper in the world. This diversified $60 billon-revenue company is also involved in food products, energy, solar and biomass power, chemicals, real estate, financial services, health care products, TV/Internet, water desalination, and 90 other businesses in 66 countries.

Fanuc (FANUY-$25.83), with $7 billion in revenues, may be the leading robotics firm in the world. Founded in 1956, Fanuc designs, produces and markets assembly line robots for automobile and electronics plants. And its lasers and super-nanomachines are considered to be top-of-the-line.

Marubeni (MARUY-$72.96), founded in 1858, is a hugely diversified company generating $62 billion in revenues from oil and gas exploration, wastewater treatment, marine products, household products, petrochemicals, fertilizers, footwear, agricultural products, sporting goods, real estate, and much more.

Finally, Murata Manufacturing (MRAAY-$20.36) has been a Japanese company since 1944 and, in 2012, sold more than $8 billion worth of capacitors, piezoelectric components, power supplies, surface acoustic wave filters, ceramic resonators, isolators, circuit modules, connectors, EMI suppression filters, inductors, sensors and the like.

Those are four classy companies, and in the coming couple of years, they could provide investors with significantly above-average capital gains.

Please address your financial questions to Malcolm Berko, P.O. Box 8303, Largo, FL 33775, or email him at mjberko@yahoo.com. To find out more about Malcolm Berko and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at www.creators.com.

COPYRIGHT 2013 CREATORS.COM



Comments

0 Comments | Post Comment
Already have an account? Log in.
New Account  
Your Name:
Your E-mail:
Your Password:
Confirm Your Password:

Please allow a few minutes for your comment to be posted.

Enter the numbers to the right:  
Creators.com comments policy
More
Malcolm Berko
May. `13
Su Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa
28 29 30 1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29 30 31 1
About the author About the author
Write the author Write the author
Printer friendly format Printer friendly format
Email to friend Email to friend
View by Month