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COVID Only Accelerated the Blue State Exodus Dec. 30, 2022
Where are Americans moving? And where, to make things more specific, have Americans been moving sinc... Read More
Three Big Surprises of 2022: Weakened Russia, Weakened China, Weakened American Economy Dec. 23, 2022
2022 was a year full of surprises. Important things didn't work out as many people had expected on j... Read More
Are the Silicon Valley Fraudsters Today's Robber Barons? Dec. 16, 2022
Will Silicon Valley go down in history the way of the robber barons? There's been plenty of raw mate... Read More
The Downward Spiral of Disgraceful Misconduct Dec. 09, 2022
When John Quincy Adams was informed by a committee that he was elected president by the House of Rep... Read More
In a Winter of Discontent, Americans Vote for the Status Quo Dec. 02, 2022
Are we living in an era of political contentment? Most Americans would answer that question with a b... Read More
Give Thanks for the Northwest Ordinance Nov. 25, 2022
Unsure of what to be thankful for this Thanksgiving season? Here's a suggestion of something to be t... Read More
A House Popular Vote Majority Produced Few Seats but Is a Good Sign For Republicans in 2024 Nov. 18, 2022
One of the puzzles in this year's surprising and unpredicted (including by me) off-year election res... Read More
Trump and Biden Big Losers, DeSantis Big Winner in 2022 Nov. 11, 2022
One way to look at this election is as a repudiation of Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Democrats held 2... Read More
It Looks Like the Republican Wave Is Coming In Nov. 04, 2022
When you look around at the political scene, less than a week from the 2022 midterm elections, what ... Read More
This Campaign's Missing Issues: Foreign Policy and Economic Redistribution Oct. 28, 2022
What issues are the candidates and the parties not talking about? It's worth asking, because sometim... Read More
Fundamentals, from COVID to Crime, Favor Republicans Oct. 21, 2022
If Democrats take a drubbing in the off-year elections — and it seems increasingly likely, but... Read More
The Democratic Party's Risk Aversion Is Harming Us All Oct. 14, 2022
Human beings differ in how much risk they will accept. Thus, as an analyst I quoted in a recent colu... Read More
It's a Hinge Year in History -- for Russia and China Oct. 07, 2022
Will 2022 turn out be a hinge year, as a moment when long-standing trends in geopolitics suddenly sh... Read More
Are Polls Understanding Republicans' Support? Sep. 30, 2022
Over the last three months, political journalists have been reporting a trend toward Democrats. The ... Read More
Queen Elizabeth II Showed Monarchy's Surprising Resilience Sep. 23, 2022
The funeral of Queen Elizabeth II and the praise pouring in from almost all quarters for her 70 year... Read More
On Ukraine and on Welfare, Morale Trumps Materiel Sep. 16, 2022
Morale matters more than materiel. Again and again, experts' predictions, based on readily quantifi... Read More
Student Loan Forgiveness: A Payoff for the Woke Sep. 02, 2022
"A Bailout for Woke Higher Ed" reads the headline on the stringent analysis by the Wall Street Journ... Read More
In 'Systemically Racist' America, Lots of Whites Vote for Blacks Aug. 26, 2022
It was just a mini headline nationally on primary night this month, but one with some national impli... Read More
The Espionage Act of 1917 Once Again Rears Its Ugly Head Aug. 19, 2022
When federal agents removed top-secret documents from former President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago res... Read More
Will Dobbs Help Democrats? Will the Mar-a-Lago Raid Help Republicans? Aug. 12, 2022
Are Republicans losing what seemed for months to be their overwhelming advantage in elections to the... Read More
