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Susan Estrich
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The Disappointed Democrats

Comment

It was not supposed to be this way.

The power of the president, Richard Neustadt wrote half a century ago, is the power to persuade — sometimes with a carrot, sometimes with a stick, sometimes (as President Reagan did so well) by getting the country behind him, sometimes (as President Johnson did) just by wearing his opponents down.

I have no doubt that the president tried all of those things. Tried, but did not succeed.

What Democrats are saying privately bears almost no relationship to what is being said publicly. Publicly, most people are biting their tongues, falling in line, swallowing their disappointment. Privately, it's a different thing entirely. From labor leaders to old-fashioned organizers, from bundlers of big money to people in the line at the market, there is anger and bewilderment and, most of all, disappointment.

How did we end up with such a bad deal? How did we end up with a plan that appeases Wall Street (by averting a default) and Republican stalwarts (by cutting into the safety net and those who provide that safety net), but fails to provide any balance in terms of increased revenue, not even loophole-closing, much less asking the rich to share in the sacrifice?

Vice President Biden is comparing the tea party to terrorists, complaining that the White House was forced to negotiate with a gun held to its head. Help me on that one. I thought we weren't supposed to negotiate with terrorists. I thought that once you did, you would be forever vulnerable. What am I missing?

I have no doubt that at the end of the day, the president tried in good faith and failed in good faith; came to the conclusion that even a bad deal was better than no deal at all, and that the only thing worse than antagonizing his base was antagonizing everyone.

That's why there are no revenue changes (read: closed loopholes and cuts in corporate welfare) in this package. That's why its defenders are claiming that Medicare services aren't being cut, ignoring the fact that cutting reimbursements to doctors will mean that even fewer will treat Medicare patients and that access to services will, in fact, be reduced.

What I don't understand is how we managed to get from Jan.

20, 2009, to this point; how the president lost the ability to persuade, cajole, use both the carrot and the stick. How did he manage to push health care through and now find himself unable to get a balanced deal? How did he end up being the one who had to say "chicken" to a lousy deal?

Oh, I know. Count the beans. There are fewer Democratic votes in the House. He needed Republicans to win. But last time I checked, the tea party didn't command a majority in the House or in the country. So why, bottom line, did they win?

Every president moves to the middle before an election. That's textbook. If you own the middle — and the center is not fixed, by any means — you win. But before you can move to the middle, you need to cement your base. Right now, liberals are restless.

Those Democrats who are willing to write off the next election — and make no mistake, there are more than whispers — are unduly pessimistic. In order to win the nomination, the Republicans will all be moving rightward, and they will do so in a way that cannot be shaded. If the Democrats have to negotiate with the "terrorists" of the tea party, the Republicans have to do more: They have to join ranks, leaving them further from the middle than the president is.

For Democrats right now, the biggest thing we have to fear is our own despair. The worst thing that could happen to an incumbent president is a primary challenge. The more serious the challenge the more likely he is to lose. And yes, the weaker he is the more likely he is to be challenged. Vicious circles are like that. The best hope is to break them.

This is just one of those times. Hopefully, there won't be too many more. There is, after all, only so much disappointment folks can swallow before they lose the hope that brought us together.

To find out more about Susan Estrich and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at www.creators.com.

COPYRIGHT 2011 CREATORS.COM



Comments

23 Comments | Post Comment
The freeloader and the provider must sacrifice equally? Yikes!
(Please note: these comments obviously do not apply to social security.)
(But they sure as heck apply to medicare and medicaid -- those were never properly funded.)
Comment: #1
Posted by: scott365
Tue Aug 2, 2011 4:49 PM
Yes, those "tea party" nut jobs - really crazy!! Imagine thinking that the government should balance the budget - just crazy I tell you... who can relate to that abstract concept? Oh, yes, just about every American. (It's really not that complicated - if the Democrats hope to move to the middle - they really do need to start sharing a few common sense tea party ideals. Make no mistake - the tea party is mainstream.
Comment: #2
Posted by: Darek
Tue Aug 2, 2011 7:54 PM
" Right now, liberals are restless"

And the rest of the country is up to its eyeballs in debt. Onlyl 21 % of this country identifies itself as liberal, yet they have had their way for over 30 years, and now we are paying for it. There is a govennment program for emergency cell phones, 250 long diistance minutes a month. That is a hell of an emergency. Don't think reasonable "terrorists", as the left is calling tea party citizens these days, are happy either. This is still a bad deal for the country because the spenders will be allowed to waste us into more debt. Restless? Try being one of the good working people paying for an easy 30% of non-contributers. I hope you are restless, and I hope you have many a sleepless night over the massive destruction you have brought upon us. You are the terrorist. Don't use that term against Americans, you snob. Get yuur "civil discourse" act together, snob.

Fiscally responsible does not equate to terrorist, insurgent, or looney, you tone deaf snob. Read Harrop if you want to see the other slant these liberal snobs are trying to pin on citizens, The word "terrorist" keeps coming up. Get an original script, you snobs.

Comment: #3
Posted by: Tom
Tue Aug 2, 2011 9:06 PM
----A couple of breaking leads in today's media
captures the reality divide perfectly.
"----Lesbian Heroes IGNORED in Norway"
-Yahoo News
"-----BANKSTERS ABOLISH CONGRESS----"
-Alex Jones
----Keep a followin' them thar' actuarial psychopaths, USURERS
and EUGENISTS kiddies!
------------Oprah, franchise slums n' wampum--------------
----------------------JUST KEEP A GOIN'
Comment: #4
Posted by: free bee
Wed Aug 3, 2011 12:39 AM
Hi All,

Let me get this straight. In the 1970's and up to today the baby boomers paid thru the nose for SS and Medicare. In those years politicans of both parties but mainly the Democrats bribed the elderly to keep them in office, rightly figuring that they'd not be in office when the baby boomers want to collect SS and Medicare. Duh, all the politicans knew exactly how many baby boomers would be eligble, and the cost.

Well, the politicans had better give me mine, or I'll refuse to vote for either party, or I'll vote for the person who states Yes, you were promised SS and Medicare, and by God you'll get it!

Nuff Said...Dennis
Comment: #5
Posted by: Dennis
Wed Aug 3, 2011 1:07 AM
I don't think I've read something of Susan's so divorced from reality. Democrats seem only to want to tax, spend, and regulate. The extent of their activities since Jan 2009 have only moved to cripple our economy. I've heard some equally deranged news people claim that now that the uncertainty about the debt ceiling is over, the economy can let loose a sigh of relief. It's not the debt ceiling, it's the certainty of out of control spending, the certainty of out of control regulation and the certainty of massive costs we are placing on the job creators that is crippling the economy. Oh, we hear about "fair share" and "loop holes", but those are just code words for ever higher taxes with no rational justification and economic tyrrany of the majority. How dare those people take advantage of tax deductions that were designed to incent certain activities? How dare those people buy houses?

Face it, spending is still only going to go up, not level off or even decline, so those who claim cuts have been made are true idiots. What we needed was for the US government to spend 3% less next year that it will this year, spend another 3% less the year after that, then hold that flat in constant dollars and let income tax collections catch up, reducing the deficit.
Comment: #6
Posted by: pb1222
Wed Aug 3, 2011 3:15 AM
How uneducated are these people in government and the media? How stupid do they think we all are? Our failed educational slystem (a product of endless Democrat help) is probably key to the inability of most people to read or think, but can anyone possibly think for themselves? Two of the most deranged things that were repeated through all this were that that the government would default on it's debt service and that Medicare and Social Security checks would not go out. In the event the debt ceiling had not been increased, about the only thing we could know for certain is that the debt service WOULD be paid, Social security checks WOULD go out, and Medicare WOULD pay it's bills.

There would have been more than enough tax collections to pay debt service (interest and principal). Social security and Medicare are funded separately and have large loans to the federal government that the treasury is obligated by law to redeem on demand. Actually redemption of these loans would only reduce the deficit.

In the real world, we, the people, have to make hard choices and restrain our spending, our employees (government) should be required to do so, as well.
Comment: #7
Posted by: pb1222
Wed Aug 3, 2011 3:35 AM
Ignorance and Marxism reign with this author and the administration. Spreading the wealth no matter it will destroy the country. That is their goal. True Americans cannot give in to these traitors and their goals.
Comment: #8
Posted by: Early
Wed Aug 3, 2011 7:14 AM
Yes, the Tea Party won this battle, but only because they were willing to shoot the US and global economy if they didn't get what they wanted. Had someone outside America made that same threat, we'd have gone to war with them, or at least sent in SEAL Team 6. But this was worse - the people making the threat were Americans. Make no mistake - they are home-grown terrorists and they actually hold seats in Congress. Disgusting.

But Democrats should not be sad because this is but one battle. Losing some ground, though unsettling, is not the last event in the effort to provide safety and security for our poorest and weakest. There will be more battles, and we will, ultimately, gain the ground back, and, more importantly, get back the financial and medical safety nets for our people.

Next . . .
Comment: #9
Posted by: Robert E
Wed Aug 3, 2011 8:50 AM
Well by this piece it is confirmed that liberals in general and Estrich in particular not just delusional but dangerously delusional. “What I don't understand” she says “ is how we got from Jan 20, 2009 to this point.” Seriously? Try this ! Until Jan 2011 we had in office a seditious Democrat controlled Senate with a super majority and a House controlled by wholly corrupt Democrats with sizeable majority and an incompetent, Marxist, Democrat Piece Of Sh*t ("POS") and pathological liar masquerading as a legitimate POTUS who collectively and recklessly spent what little money we had and much more that we did not have like the oft abused drunken sailors. Hell! drunken sailors are fiscally conservative compared to the Democrat scum and trash that was in power since Jan 20, 2009. Had the Democrats wanted to raise the debt limit under any terms they desired, it could have been done at any time between Jan 20, 2009 and Jan 2011. Neither the GOP, nor the Tea Party, nor the fiscally responsible nor anyone else could have done a thing about it. Just remember Obamacare and how it was dishonestly passed. But they did not. They even refused pass a budget. The POS in Chief's budget was laughed out of the Senate 97 votes to zero. Why all of this? Answer to deliberately create the false illusion of crisis and to deliberately create the situation wherein the GOP, the Tea Party and everyone else save those truly culpable Democrats could be falsely blamed. After all the Dems and the POS in Chief could not be seen to unilaterally raise taxes and the debt ceiling with the POS in Chief's re-election bid coming up. The only thing this POS in the Whitehouse actually tried to do was to create crisis and in that he succeeded and then like the craven disgusting coward that he is, he ran away. No plan, no solution, no leadership just sabotage. Susan despicably speaks of the Tea Party as terrorists. Thats rich from one who actually defended terrorists by arguing that Jihad was religeous concept actually protected by the First Amandment. One dictionary definition of terrorist is “a person who tries to awaken or spread a feeling of fear or alarm” The only terrorists on view were the POS in Chief and the Democrats, who aided and abetted by the MSM lied about default, lied about social security checks and medicare and about taxes on so called rich, by which they really meant anyone earning over $250,000 per year not millionaires and billionaires in order to deliberately and falsely create alarm and fear. The word saboteur is defined as “one who commits deliberate damage or destruction in order to disrupt production as a political act”. Ever since January 2007 when the Democrats took control of the House they have been committing sabotage on the economy. Such sabotage was simply increased exponentially between 2009 and 2011 and is a last being checked if only marginally.
No Susan it is the openly seditious Democrat Senate, the corrupt Democrat House pre 2011 and the present POS in Chief that have been and continue to be the terrorists and saboteurs of this economy.
Comment: #10
Posted by: joseph wright
Wed Aug 3, 2011 9:34 AM
The people that should be helping out Susan are not the people that are paying the bulk of the taxes but the 47% of the American people that pay no income taxes.
Comment: #11
Posted by: Ray
Wed Aug 3, 2011 11:02 AM
As a follow up to my first post...

The top 1% of earners pay 40% of all federal income taxes. That seems like "sharing in the sacrifice" to me.
Comment: #12
Posted by: scott365
Wed Aug 3, 2011 5:35 PM
Ear Susan<
Why all the doom and gloom?? I think you are a little pre-mature with your autopsy of the Democratic Party and their chances in the next election. The TEA PARTY REPUBLICANS have painted themselves into a corner. I can see the campaign ads already being put together by the media consultants. They will paint the Tea Partiers as protecters of the RICH millionaires and Billionaires. And the guys who voted for the Ryan bill will be pilloried for that vote. They are all so terrified of these coming ads that they prepared and signed a letter to the Democrats begging them NOT to make that vote a campaign issue in the next election ??? Are they completely crazy? Do they really expect their opponents in upcoming elections to ignore the gifts that these guys dropped in their laps. My local Democratic Representative was beaten in the last election by a TEA Party candidate. The ads for the next campaign have already been shown to past donors in private showings to raise funds to run them on local TV stations. They are very powerful. And the same people who were angry enough to vote for these guys are now fully aware of their agendas. Many of the TEA PARTY types ran on stealth agendas. By that I mean that they did not tell the public exactly what their real intent was once elected. The local public is finally awake to this stealth agenda and they don't like it Many of them were not aware that the agenda was to move to privitize Social Security and to dismantle the Education Dept, the EPA and the FDA. People around these parts still remember what brought the EPA into being. The pictures of the Cuyahoga River in Ohio catching on fire after unregulated Big Business dumped so many toxic chemicals and sludge into it played on TV news every night for a long time and the citizens demanded action. Cpngress responded. I am not sure that a budget of 8 billion and 17,000 employees is what we need but sometimes some government regulation is necessary. The general public understands that SOME government is necessary and the scorched earth methods of the Tea Party types are Not constructive. There will be a backlash against them in the next election. Just sit back and watch them self-destruct. They have painted themselves into a corner.
Comment: #13
Posted by: robert lipka
Wed Aug 3, 2011 9:06 PM
Re: robert lipka Whenever one reads Estrich's writings and additional posts by the likes of Lipka it is confirmed that certain words or phrases properly describe the various viper generations of liberals and progressives, to wit :

1. Useful Idiots. Lennin was widely credited with the prediction that liberals and other weak minded souls in the west could be relied upon to be useful idiots so far as the Soviet Union was concerned. If he actually said that, then history shows that he was not only right as regards the Soviet Union but with regard to every enemy of America and every ideology coming down the pike that had potential to harm the Republic and the freedoms which the Constitution endeavoured to preserve.
2. Umbilical. Although adult and juvenile liberals have (I think) had the umbilical cord that linked them to their biological mommies cut at birth, they have somehow grown a substitute umbilical cord to a Federal Mommy State upon which they depend and rely for their every need and nourishment.
3. Dependant independent. Liberals will cry loudly and may even believe that they are moderate independents. However, at every opportunity they will vote for and place in power those that would rob everyone of independence, those that engage in identity politics, those that believe in race and other quotas and equal outcome as distinct from equal opportunity and those that would destroy freedom. All liberals will gladly give up their own freedoms and much worse would give up the freedoms of others to preserve and to grow the Mommy State. Liberals thrive on Federal rules and regulations that guide them but inhibit freedom for they are simply incapable of self sustenance and envy those that are self motivated.
4. Public school or liberal arts college or both indoctrinated envy driven under achievers. The phrase speaks for itself and accurately describes nearly all liberals that I have had the misfortune to briefly employ and then the good fortune to be rid of. I have found, without exception, that liberals have a petty mean spirited entitlement mentality and an envy of achievers that is a malignant cancer in the workplace. I have not and will not repeat past mistakes.
5. Terrorists and saboteurs. I set out in my post above dictionary definitions of terrorist and saboteur. The facts are clear that it is liberals that are the true terrorists and saboteurs in this Republic each imbued with the common goal of its destruction and replacement with a liberal Utopia in which rights are not given by God but the State.
Comment: #14
Posted by: joseph wright
Thu Aug 4, 2011 12:15 PM
Well I guess Barack, Moochelle and the rest of the Alinskiites will be celebrating tonight. Dow down 512 as this is written, not since that other worthless human being Jimmy Carter has it been so bad. Welcome to Carter's second term. Get Urkel out of the Whitehiouse.
Comment: #15
Posted by: joseph wright
Thu Aug 4, 2011 1:32 PM
The comments to this article confirm what America is becoming and I don't like it at all. It just sickens me how hateful some people are.

Why are Liberals always associated with being lazy freeloaders? I consider myself a Liberal and have not collected one penny from any government program my entire adult life. I have worked full time since I was 18 years old. I have witness abuse of our entitlement programs under both a sides. There will always be abuse, but why punish everyone for the few that abuse the system?

We need to create jobs....and the so called "job creators" are not going to create jobs based on how much they are taxed....they will create jobs based on demand....if things keep going the way they are now the middle class will no longer be. No one will have money to buy things so businesses will not have that demand....I know it is much more complicated than my explanation, but demand spurs job creation.

I pray the average Americans will wake up and see what is happening before it is too late!
Comment: #16
Posted by: Becky B
Thu Aug 4, 2011 2:31 PM
Re: robert lipka
When the reprobate Clinton left office the debt was 57% of GDP . When the progressive Bush left office eight years later it was about 69% of GDP today it is 100% + of GDP in just 2 I/2 years of Urkel in the Whitehouse. God knows what it will be in 2012 along with unemployment in the mid 9 percent range. Lets see the P's O S in the Democrat party sit on those stats and spin.
Comment: #17
Posted by: joseph wright
Thu Aug 4, 2011 3:16 PM
Re: Becky B
Why are Liberals always associated with being lazy freeloaders? Answer because it has been earned by their actions and their deliberate creation of a welfare dependant underclass. You may be one of the few exceptions.
Becky B this may come as a shock to you but businesses are not charities. They do not exist for redistribution of wealth purposes. Businesses exist to make profit. Taxation and regulation plays a major part in job creation in that taxation and regulation together act as a major disincentive to job creation.
I know, I own three international consultancy practices and I employ on average, it varies, about 40 professionals and other additional support staff. They all have excellent salaries, profit incentives and the same health care that I have. I take financial risks, I invest but there comes a time when due to taxation and profit killing regulation the reward is just not worth the effort, the long hours or risk or overhead. Indeed I may just shut up shop and at 58yrs old happliy retire. Further I have three daughters who are each small business owners and who each employ about 10-15 people maybe more. They too are in debate as to whether the current government imposed risks and regulation and possible taxation by way of healthcare costs outweigh reward. They will certainly not be hiring.
David Catron writes in the American Spectator today in piece entitled The One-Termer We've Been Waiting For "Even worse an important driver of the dismal employment situation has been the President's signature acheivement the health care law. The law's numerous new taxes and other disincentives for job creation, combined with the uncertainty over its ultimate fate in the courts, began dragging the economy down immediately after Obama signed it in March of 2010" and " What happens when the federal government adds to the cost of doing business for a particular industry by raising taxes ? The companies comprising that industry find a friendlier and cheaper place to do business."
I will not subject my self to the buffoon in the Whitehouse and neither will I subject my self to the tyranny of him and his ilk redistributing my hard won earnings to a welfare subclass that thinks it comes from his "stash". I will remove myself from the market first and do without the income. And yes that will eradicate about 40 well paid jobs. But that is the cost of liberalism.
Comment: #18
Posted by: joseph wright
Thu Aug 4, 2011 6:14 PM
DEAR BECKY B.
You are so very right. The GREAT MYTH being foist upon us is that tax breaks for the rich turn them into JOB CREATORS. The Bush tax breaks have been in place for nine years now and where are the Jobs? ??? Actually higher taxes on the rich force them to work harder to make money but since the rich never dirty their hands with work, they do what comes naturally to them, THEY HIRE PEOPLE TO WORK FOR THEM. So exactly the opposite of the MYTH is true. The rich , in order to maintain their bottom line INCREASE PRODUCTION and INCREASE HIREING to make more product. And, I found in my businesses, that each employee adds more to the pot than the money I paid out to him or her. It is rare that you will hire a total deadbeat who does not return at least as much as his salary. I rarely fired anyone who worked for me because I respected them for whatever effort they could put forth. Not everyone can be employee of the month. But 99% of employees add money for a company. The problem these days is that most CEOs are total cowards. They fear making a positive move forr their companies because demand is thin. They are sitting on cash that they could invest looking forward to better times. And if past is prologue, the good times are coming as Mama Cass might sing. As an eternal optimist, I look forward to very good times and have stepped up production at my small firm. I want to be ready when the next boom comes.
Put a smile on your face Becky, I think you are an optimist as well.
Comment: #19
Posted by: robert lipka
Thu Aug 4, 2011 6:24 PM
The only thing radical about the tea party, is that the press, for some strange reason lives in a dream world where money magically appears, and all is swell.

See how well it is working for their circulations. Why in Los Angeles the LA Times was so anxious for subscribers they were offering 7 day home delivery, with a gift card for $1/week. The Sunday Times by itself, at the news stand is $1.50. So they can make up for the price cut, by volume. Right.
Comment: #20
Posted by: barry1817
Fri Aug 5, 2011 11:36 PM
Becky
You're a liberal because you want legalized abortions. Right?
Comment: #21
Posted by: Early
Mon Aug 8, 2011 5:07 AM
If only President Obama and the Democratic Party are to blame for the S&P credit downgrade, why is this in the report?:
“We have changed our assumption on this because the majority of Republicans in Congress continue to resist any measure that would raise revenues, a position we believe Congress reinforced by passing the act.”
It is on page 4 of the S&P report, but it doesn't seem to be getting any attention in the mainstream media. If the media was "liberal" as the Right Wing is so fond of claiming, then this would be the lead on every story. Instead, the corporate media, which actually runs center-right, is ignoring it because S&P is saying taxes must be increased in order to raise the credit rating, which would support what President Obama and the Democratic Party has been saying all along in that we need a balanced approach between common sense cuts and tax increases on any household making $250,000 per year.
Note that the report does not call out the Democratic Party by name like this.
Comment: #22
Posted by: Jim H.
Mon Aug 8, 2011 10:16 AM
The Republicans and GW Bush left a sinking ship for the Democrats and President Obama to patch up and keep afloat. A nearly impossible task to do in three, let alone four years. So why don't we just turn that still leaking ship back over to those who punched the holes in it? They have all the answers: Gut the federal budget and lay-off hundreds of thousands of government workers, de-regulate all business and industry, cut corpoate taxes and tax on the wealthiest even more, cut off welfare to the unamployable poor, illiterate and drug-addicted, tax the working poor, bust all unions, let people die who can't afford healthcare in the private market, and make today's workers work longer or pay more for their Social Security. It just might work!
Comment: #23
Posted by: Laurie Craw
Sat Aug 13, 2011 9:57 PM
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