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Susan Estrich
25 May 2012
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23 May 2012
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The Day After

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1994 was much worse. Much. So was 1980, but of course, that was also a presidential election. Within days, there were makeshift unemployment offices in all the congressional office buildings.

Actually, to be a little Pollyanna-ish here, what's striking is that for Democrats, it could have been so much worse. California and New York were, for starters, exempt. Also Massachusetts. A whole slew of people who could very well have lost — from Harry Reid in Nevada to Chris Coons in Delaware — didn't. The Senate remained Democratic. People were much more into throwing the bums out when it came to House races than gubernatorial races.

For all the talk about the tea party movement generating enthusiasm, that enthusiasm came at a price, for which Christine O'Donnell will always be the poster girl. You nominated her for a Senate seat you would have otherwise won? Are you crazy? People were still asking these questions on election night.

This is what Republicans have to "manage" for the next two years, along with the fact that their best-known and most magnetic star, Sarah Palin, also has the highest negatives. I'd take Barack Obama's political problems over hers any day. And so, I think, would any professional.

No one speaks for "the American people" — notwithstanding the many who claimed to on Tuesday night. At best, candidates who won really "big" could claim to speak for about 60 percent of the 50-some percent of us who even bothered to vote. Most people, it bears remembering, didn't say anything at all on Tuesday, one way or the other.

But the message that comes out of the results is not revolutionary at all. The Republicans got the keys, but they didn't get the car.

Cynics will tell you that paralysis is the most likely result, and they're probably right. Still, among all the "voter" interviews I've heard in the past 24 hours, it is hard to remember anyone saying they were voting so that Washington could become even more divided and partisan and unproductive than it already is. Voters, we should not be shocked to hear, are a whole lot less partisan than the leaders of partisan politics. If paralysis cometh, he or she who is seen as being responsible for it will pay.

The other possibility is some balance. At least some Republicans last night were sounding a more practical theme. They recognize that they have to do some things that actually pass and become law. They can't spend the next two years solely focused on making sure that Obama doesn't get re-elected, or they will assure that he does. That was 1996. Whatever the talking heads say, once they get to D.C., even the biggest tea drinkers will discover that a revolutionary who comes home empty-handed isn't going to be welcomed.

The best thing about midterms is that they provide an occasion for midterm corrections. I don't think America rejected Obama's presidency last night. But they rejected the experience they've had of it in the first two years: unemployment; huge bills being passed that most people don't yet understand; bailouts for those too big to fail but not for those too small to matter; a president who is without question smart, but whose ability to "feel our pain" much less motivate his base has yet to be established.

It's how you play your hand that matters in the end. The president has been dealt a new hand — not the one he wanted, certainly, and not the easiest hand to play, but it has possibilities. If politics works at all like it's supposed to, in the playing of it, he'll show himself.

To find out more about Susan Estrich and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at www.creators.com.

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Comments

11 Comments | Post Comment
As a group, the democrats have been pretty intransigient since losing in 2000. To call Republicans the party of No is pretty hypocritical, when the Democrats have made absolutely no effort to be bipartisian. President Obama in his press conference today illustrated that he just doesn't get it. Yes people are reacting to the economy, but things started to get bad before he took office because of the anticipation of the damage he would do. As the damage became more clear with the passage of Obamacare and other policies, programs and rhetoric, there is nowhere to look for the cause of this Obama and his policies.

Obama is a smart man, there's so much he knows that isn't true.
Comment: #1
Posted by: pb1222
Wed Nov 3, 2010 7:51 PM
Susan, You still don't get it. Electing a RINO is not a "win". Christine O'Donnell is a real Republican. Better to die free than live in chains.
Comment: #2
Posted by: David Henricks
Wed Nov 3, 2010 9:30 PM
"1994 was much worse. Much." (I assume you mean "For the Democrats"). This is probably whitling past the graveyard. In absolute terms, the Democrats lost more Congress members than in 1994. They also lost about as many governorships and more legislators -- and unlike 1994, 2010 is a redistricting year. To be sure, the Democrats held the Senate (in a year where their math was much better than in 1994). But the real test of whether a year is bad or not lies in its consequences, not its numbers. In 1994, there was a strong desire on the part of both the White House and the Republican majorities to get certain things done (budget balancing; welfare reform). I can see no area where there is a confluence of interest between the president and the House of Representatives this year. Moreover, with respect to 2012, the Republicans are much less likely to overreach than they were under Gingrich, making it much less likely that they will boost Obama's chances by shooting themselves in the foot.
Comment: #3
Posted by: JohnEMack
Thu Nov 4, 2010 6:04 AM
Unfortunately, the DEMOCRATS have been the PARTY of YES.... which is easier since it is other people's money. YES, to more spending, YES to bailout, YES to the Black Panthers, Yes to Raising Tax Rates, Yes to Amnesty, and YES to bills that they have not read, YES to gov't control of healthcare, YES to Unions and card check, and so on.

I agree with what you said Susan; except that Obama's credibility and mojo have been spent. He was not Bush, and read from the teleprompter with passion. Now he has nothing to be passionate about, and he's not Obama, he is. He hurt himself with gross politicizing(enemies etc.) during the campaign and engaging in class warfare that divides America. This goes directly against what we found so appealing in 2007/8
Comment: #4
Posted by: Steve
Thu Nov 4, 2010 6:57 AM
I love hearing all the liberals, like Ms. Estrich fall over themselves with the "without question Obama is smart." Really, without any question? Intersting. I would think after watching Marco Rubio's acceptance speech, and virtually anything Mr. Obama has ever said, with or without telepromptor, side by side, someone being intellectually honest with themselves would have had at least 1 "question" about Mr. Obama's intelligence. Intersting.
Comment: #5
Posted by: jasiel
Thu Nov 4, 2010 6:59 AM
Give Susie a break. Keep in mind she lives in California and really smart has a fairly low threshold
Comment: #6
Posted by: Ron
Thu Nov 4, 2010 7:19 AM
The Obama Marxism, praised by Susan, has been rejected. Why are the lefties so ignorant, intelligent but ignorant.
Comment: #7
Posted by: Early
Thu Nov 4, 2010 8:15 AM
Where is the evidence that Obama is smart? Any 6th grader can read a teleprompter.
Comment: #8
Posted by: AmazonGrace
Thu Nov 4, 2010 12:38 PM
Another great post! I enjoy your column, Susan. There is always much food for thought.
Comment: #9
Posted by: Honor Girl
Fri Nov 5, 2010 8:04 AM
Gee don't bother to defend your very first sentence.How truly liberal.Just
make a snappy comeback statement,and then kinda swivel chair around it,and maybe
udder loony lefties won't notice.But the Piece {article} wasn't written for Dems.
But merely to demonstrate how unified you lefties are,even to the point of
not discussing what you insist.That 1994 was worse.Much worse.54 seats to what looks
like 63-64 seats { when all votes are confirmed} is not worse.Yes, 8 senate seats to
6 does trump.After being sworn-in they'll be 30 Republican Governors to 18,19 Democrat
Governors.And the rout in the state legislatures also,will portend redistricting falls into
the privy of Republicans,I believe it's been 100 years since the Democrats fell under 200
seats in the House { 256 to 179 }.Now That's Entertainment.
Comment: #10
Posted by: Foolardi
Tue Nov 9, 2010 6:25 AM
Re: AmazonGrace

Reagan could, too. Unfortunately, Dubya couldn't. He was good at starting wars, though, and getting kids killed.
Comment: #11
Posted by: Winslow
Sun Nov 28, 2010 6:00 PM
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