March 12. Crude oil for April delivery hit $110 per barrel. The U.S. dollar fell to a new low against the Euro. It now takes $1.55 to purchase one Euro.
These new highs against the dollar are the ongoing story of the collapse of the U.S. dollar as the world reserve currency and a corresponding collapse of American power.
Each new decision from the insane Bush regime pushes the dollar a little further along to oblivion. The same Fed announcement that boosted the stock market on March 11 sent the dollar reeling and the price of oil up. The Fed's announcement that it and other central banks are going to deal with the derivative crisis by monetizing $200 billion of the troubled instruments signaled more dollar inflation.
Of course, something needed to be done to forestall an implosion of the financial system, but a less costly alternative was at hand. The mark-to-market rule could have been suspended in order to halt the forced sale and write down of assets and to provide time in which to sort out derivative values, which are higher than the fire sale prices.
More pressure on the dollar resulted from the decision to award the European company Airbus a $40 billion contract that could reach $100 billion to build U.S. Air Force tankers. In simple terms, that means another $40 billion to $100 billion added to the U.S. trade deficit, and a loss of $40 billion to $100 billion in U.S. gross domestic product and associated jobs.
Of course, the Bush regime had to award the contract to Europe as a payoff for Europe's support of the Bush regime's wars of aggression in the Middle East. Europe is not going to provide Bush with diplomatic cover for his wars and NATO troops for his war in Afghanistan without a payoff.
Here is the picture: The U.S. economy, which has been kept alive by enormous debt expansion that has overreached its limit, is falling into recession. The traditional way out by expanding the supply of money and credit is blocked by the impaired banking system, the levels of consumer debt, the collapsing value of the U.S.
The Bush regime is attempting to bypass the stalled credit expansion by sending Americans $600 checks, money that will mainly be used to reduce existing credit card debt and not to fund new consumption.
The United States is dependent on foreigners not only for energy but also for manufactured goods and advanced technology products. The United States is dependent on foreigners to finance our consumption of $800 billion annually more than the United States produces. The United States is dependent on foreigners to finance its red ink wars, and the U.S. government's budget deficit is now expanding, as tax revenues decline with the declining economy.
The bottom line: U.S. power is enfeebled. U.S. power depends on the willingness of foreigners to finance our wars and on the willingness of foreigners to continue to accumulate depreciating dollar assets.
The United States cannot close its trade deficit. Oil prices are rising, and offshore production of goods and services for U.S. markets results in a dollar-for-dollar increase in imports, while reducing the supply of domestic goods available for export.
The United States cannot close its budget deficit while it is squandering vast sums on wars that serve no U.S. purpose, handing out $150 billion in red-ink rebates and falling into recession.
U.S. living standards, which have been stagnant for years, will plummet once dollar decline forces China off the dollar peg. So far, prices of the Chinese-made goods on Wal-Mart shelves have not risen, because the Chinese currency, pegged to the dollar, falls in value with the dollar. In a word, tottering U.S. living standards are being supported by China's willingness to subsidize U.S. consumption by keeping its currency grossly undervalued.
The United States is overextended economically and militarily, just as was Great Britain with the fall of France in the opening days of World War II. The British had the Americans to bail them out. After the chewing gum and bailing wire patch-ups are exhausted, who is going to bail us out?
To find out more about Paul Craig Roberts, and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate web page at www.creators.com.
COPYRIGHT 2008 CREATORS SYNDICATE INC.
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