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Paul Craig Roberts
Paul Craig Roberts
26 Mar 2010
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Astonishing Incongruities

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California State Controller John Chiang announced on Jan. 26 that California's bills exceed its tax revenues and credit line, and that the state is going to print its own money, known as IOUs. The template is already designed.

Instead of receiving their state tax refunds in dollars, California residents will receive IOUs. Student aid and payments to disabled and needy will also come in the form of IOUs. California is negotiating with banks to get them to accept the IOUs as deposits.

California is often identified as the world's eighth-largest economy, and it is broke.

A person might think that California's plight would introduce some realism into Washington, D.C., but it has not. President Obama is taking steps to intensify the war in Afghanistan and, perhaps, to expand it to Pakistan.

Obama has retained the Republican warmongers in the Pentagon, and the United States continues to illegally bomb Pakistan and to murder its civilians. At the World Economic Forum at Davos last week, Pakistan's prime minister, Y.R. Gilani, said that the American attacks on Pakistan are counterproductive and done without Pakistan's permission. In an interview with CNN, Gilani said, "I want to put on record that we do not have any agreement between the government of the United States and the government of Pakistan."

How long before Washington will be printing IOU money?

On Jan. 28, Obama announced his $825 billion bailout plan. This comes on top of President Bush's $700 billion bailout of just a few months ago.

Obama says his plan will be more transparent than Bush's and will do more good for the economy.

As large as the bailouts are — a total of $1.5 trillion in four months — the amount is small in relation to the reported size of troubled assets that are in the tens of trillions of dollars. How do we know that by June there won't be another bailout, say $950 billion?

Where will the money come from?

Obama's bailout plan, added to the FY 2009 budget deficit he has inherited from President Bush, opens a gaping expenditure hole of about $3 trillion. Who is going to purchase $3 trillion of U.S. Treasury bonds?

Not the U.S. consumer. The consumer is out of work and out of money. Private sector credit market debt is 174 percent of gross domestic product. The personal savings rate is 2 percent. Ten percent of households are in foreclosure or arrears. Household debt-service ratio is at an all-time high. Household net worth has declined at a record rate. Housing inventories are at record highs.

Not America's foreign creditors. At best, the Chinese, Japanese and Saudis can recycle their trade surpluses with the United States into Treasury bonds, but the combined surplus does not approach the size of the U.S. budget deficit.

Perhaps another drop in the stock market will drive Americans' remaining wealth into "safe" U.S.

Treasury bonds.

If not, there's only the printing press.

The printing press would turn a deflationary depression into an inflationary depression. Unemployment combined with rising prices would be a killer.

Inflation would kill the dollar, as well, leaving the United States unable to pay for its imports.

All the Obama regime sees is a "credit problem." But the crisis goes far beyond banks' bad investments. The United States is busted. Many of the state governments are busted. Homeowners are busted. Consumers are busted. Jobs are busted. Companies are busted.

And Obama thinks he has the money to fight wars in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Except for the super-rich and those banksters and CEOs who stole wealth from investors and shareholders, Americans have suffered enormous losses in wealth and income.

The stock market decline has destroyed about 45 percent of their IRAs, 401Ks and other equity investments. On top of this comes the decline in home prices, lost jobs and health care, and lost customers. The realized gains in mutual funds and investment partnerships, on which Americans paid taxes, have been wiped out.

The government should give those taxes back.

Americans who have seen their retirement savings devastated by complicity of government regulators and lawmakers with financial gangsters should not have to pay any income tax when they draw on their pensions.

The financial damage inflicted on Americans by their own government is as great as would be expected from foreign conquest. While Washington "protected" us from terrorists by fighting pointless wars abroad, the U.S. economy collapsed.

How can President Obama even think about fighting wars halfway around the world while California cannot pay its bills, while Americans are being turned out of their homes, while as BusinessWeek reports, retirees will work throughout their retirement (which assumes that there will be jobs), while careers are being destroyed and stores and factories shuttered?

Americans are facing tremendous unemployment and hardship. Obama doesn't have another dollar to spend on Bush's wars.

Taxpayers are busted. They cannot stand another day of being milked by the military-security complex. The U.S. government is paying private mercenaries more by the day than the monthly checks it is providing to Social Security retirees.

This is insanity.

The banksters robbed us twice. First, it was our home and stock values. Then, the government rewarded the banksters for their misdeeds by bailing out the banksters, not their victims, and putting the cost on the taxpayers' books.

The government has also robbed the taxpayers of $3 trillion dollars to fight its wars. About $600 billion are out-of-pocket costs, and the rest is on the taxpayers' books.

When foreign creditors look at the debt piled on the taxpayers' books, they don't see a good credit risk.

Washington is so accustomed to ripping off the taxpayers for the benefit of special interests that the practice is now in its DNA. While bailouts are being piled upon bailouts, wars are being piled upon wars.

Before Obama gets in any deeper, he must ask his economic team where the money is coming from. When he finds out, he needs to tell the rest of us.

To find out more about Paul Craig Roberts, and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate web page at www.creators.com.

COPYRIGHT 2009 CREATORS SYNDICATE INC.


Comments

4 Comments | Post Comment
Have you ever heard of "devaluation" of the currency?
Comment: #1
Posted by:
Fri Feb 6, 2009 6:00 AM
I don't think the right actions are being taken. And I don't think Bush's admin. made the right actions either. Frankly I think that the action that should have been taken is that they should have let the companies fail that made bad decisions and not bail them out. Unless of course the government is covering themselves because they forced the banks to make loans they wouldn't normally make or if they were in bed with them.
I think we're in for a world of hurt no matter what happens with the way the fed is printing and spending money they don't have. All the FED is doing is increasing our debt in the idea that spending more will get us out of our debt problems. That is insanity. The dollar is going to be toast. I'm looking at gold with the real time widget ExactPrice http://www.learcapital.com/exactprice and it's trading at $913.70 and ounce. Silver is really taking off so I'm thinking a lot of other people are thinking that all the FED actions are going to be bad in the long run and are jumping onto these commodities as a safe haven bet.
Comment: #2
Posted by: Hal
Fri Feb 6, 2009 10:52 AM
Re: Hal
The government did not force the banks to make these bad loans, nor did they cause rating agencies to pass these loans off as good. The loans were so profitable in the short term and since most of them were sold off as soon as they were made, the banks figured they were safe. The only problem is these loans got bundled, securitized and leveraged and in the incredibly complicated and unregulated financial world of today, these banks ended up eating some of the very shit they had created. Sort of like wily coyote getting nailed by the anvil he had set up for the road runner. This problem of short term thinking is a highlight characteristic of America and will be seen as one of the keys future historians will point to in describing our fall from power. The fall of the Soviet Union left us feeling we could, in the words of Karl Rove, "create our own reality", because no one could match us or stand in our way. Pride cometh before the fall, and human nature is the one unchangeable in this planet's sorry history.
Comment: #3
Posted by: michael nola
Fri Feb 6, 2009 4:14 PM
When you go to anywhere in the USA to buy anything, look to see where is it made? Not in the USA. When you buy $1,000.00 tools, parts, etc at Home Depot, they send maybe $500.00 to maybe China to buy these products. The US Government no longer allows dollars to be redeemed with gold. The Chinese are allowed to redeem these freshly printed paper dollars that they earned to purchase title to real estate, forests, industries, breweries, hotels, factories, casinos, financial institutions and title to everything else of value that is located in the USA.
There is (probably) a limit to the amount of paper dollars that the foreign country manufacturing people and the foreign country raw material supplying people will continue to accept in payment. This limit will become apparent as soon as foreigners own title to everything of value in the USA and nothing is left that the foreign dollar holders want to buy with their freshly printed paper dollars. Some government sources estimate that the title to 25% of our property and businesses are now foreign owned (http://www.economyincrisis.org/content/ownership). What will be the buying power of the dollar when we have nothing left to redeem the dollars earned by foreigner manufacturers????????? This is selling of our children's legacy to foreign owners, and the US government calls it "Investing in America". This is sort-of like selling our body parts to keep from working!!!!!
The federal government does not really go to the bank and borrow money, they buy paper and print up dollars, T-Bills, Bonds and other securities, and then sell them to pay their bills or pass them out to pay their expenses.
Only a positive balance of trade will restore the value of the dollar, and we must accomplish this by any means possible, or accept third world poverty on a large scale basis. Riots and insurrection are predictable, ala the French Revolution, when the people find their situations economically hopeless.
Comment: #4
Posted by: Gerald Spencer
Tue Feb 10, 2009 8:18 AM
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