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Pat Buchanan
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Who Started Cold War II?

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The American people should be eternally grateful to Old Europe for having spiked the Bush-McCain plan to bring Georgia into NATO.

Had Georgia been in NATO when Mikheil Saakashvili invaded South Ossetia, we would be eyeball to eyeball with Russia, facing war in the Caucasus, where Moscow's superiority is as great as U.S. superiority in the Caribbean during the Cuban missile crisis.

If the Russia-Georgia war proves nothing else, it is the insanity of giving erratic hotheads in volatile nations the power to drag the United States into war.

From Harry Truman to Ronald Reagan, as Defense Secretary Robert Gates said, U.S. presidents have sought to avoid shooting wars with Russia, even when the Bear was at its most beastly.

Truman refused to use force to break Stalin's Berlin blockade. Ike refused to intervene when the Butcher of Budapest drowned the Hungarian Revolution in blood. LBJ sat impotent as Leonid Brezhnev's tanks crushed the Prague Spring. Jimmy Carter's response to Brezhnev's invasion of Afghanistan was to boycott the Moscow Olympics. When Brezhnev ordered his Warsaw satraps to crush Solidarity and shot down a South Korean airliner killing scores of U.S. citizens, including a congressman, Reagan did — nothing.

These presidents were not cowards. They simply would not go to war when no vital U.S. interest was at risk to justify a war. Yet, had George W. Bush prevailed and were Georgia in NATO, U.S. Marines could be fighting Russian troops over whose flag should fly over a province of 70,000 South Ossetians who prefer Russians to Georgians.

The arrogant folly of the architects of U.S. post-Cold War policy is today on display. By bringing three ex-Soviet republics into NATO, we have moved the U.S. red line for war from the Elbe almost to within artillery range of the old Leningrad.

Should America admit Ukraine into NATO, Yalta, vacation resort of the czars, will be a NATO port and Sevastopol, traditional home of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, will become a naval base for the U.S. Sixth Fleet. This is altogether a bridge too far.

And can we not understand how a Russian patriot like Vladimir Putin would be incensed by this U.S. encirclement after Russia shed its empire and sought our friendship? How would Andy Jackson have reacted to such crowding by the British Empire?

As of 1991, the oil of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan belonged to Moscow.

Can we not understand why Putin would smolder as avaricious Yankees built pipelines to siphon the oil and gas of the Caspian Basin through breakaway Georgia to the West?

For a dozen years, Putin & Co. watched as U.S. agents helped to dump over regimes in Ukraine and Georgia that were friendly to Moscow.

If Cold War II is coming, who started it, if not us?

The swift and decisive action of Putin's army in running the Georgian forces out of South Ossetia in 24 hours after Saakashvili began his barrage and invasion suggests Putin knew exactly what Saakashvili was up to and dropped the hammer on him.

What did we know? Did we know Georgia was about to walk into Putin's trap? Did we not see the Russians lying in wait north of the border? Did we give Saakashvili a green light?

Joe Biden ought to be conducting public hearings on who caused this U.S. humiliation.

The war in Georgia has exposed the dangerous overextension of U.S. power. There is no way America can fight a war with Russia in the Caucasus with our army tied down in Afghanistan and Iraq. Nor should we. Hence, it is demented to be offering, as John McCain and Barack Obama are, NATO membership to Tbilisi.

The United States must decide whether it wants a partner in a flawed Russia or a second Cold War. For if we want another Cold War, we are, by cutting Russia out of the oil of the Caspian and pushing NATO into her face, going about it exactly the right way.

Vladimir Putin is no Stalin. He is a nationalist determined, as ruler of a proud and powerful country, to assert his nation's primacy in its own sphere, just as U.S. presidents from James Monroe to Bush have done on our side of the Atlantic.

A resurgent Russia is no threat to any vital interests of the United States. It is a threat to an American Empire that presumes some God-given right to plant U.S. military power in the backyard or on the front porch of Mother Russia.

Who rules Abkhazia and South Ossetia is none of our business. And after this madcap adventure of Saakashvili, why not let the people of these provinces decide their own future in plebiscites conducted by the United Nations or the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe?

As for Saakashvili, he's probably toast in Tbilisi after this stunt. Let the neocons find him an endowed chair at the American Enterprise Institute.

To find out more about Patrick Buchanan, and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate web page at www.creators.com.

COPYRIGHT 2008 CREATORS SYNDICATE INC.


Comments

9 Comments | Post Comment
Once again Pat is right on the Money.
It's extremely unfortunate that the Neo-Cons have successfully usurped the place he once had as an influential conservative commentator.
In his place we have a plethora of idiotic, war-mongering idiots who think there is NO war too far away, NO war to costly and NO reason too small to overlook to commit our troops too.
Even more outrageous, is the neo-cons success in getting our Corporate media to call Georgia an ally.
An ally has something to offer.
Georgia in terms of military strength has nothing to offer.
In terms of strategic Georgia's location is only important if we decide we must have a presence on Russia's doorstep, which is so insane it's pathologically criminal to consider it normal.
Going up against Russia would not only be a military defeat, it would also enrage Russia like nothing ever has before. Should even one foot of an American soldier step foot on Russian land, you can be sure that as enraged as Russia would be a limited nuke strike would be the option they'd choose.
The Russians are clear, given a choice of living in a world where they are humiliated and ignored on every issue of concern to them, or giving the West a defeat that also destroys Russia, Russia would choose the latter, for in the Russian mind, being humiliated and ignored as the West has done is tantamount to being destroyed so why not share the distruction for real with the West via nuclear weapons.
Comment: #1
Posted by: jonathan seer
Tue Aug 19, 2008 9:45 AM
Pat covered most of the bases; however, the devil is always in the details, many of which Pat did not mention.
The Bush Administration now trumpeted by McCain, staged the Georgia v Russia/Russia v Georgia event to bolster McCains campaign. So far the U.S. backed, planned and mandated, Saakashvilli stunt, has paid off big for McCain and U.S. military contractors. McCain had allot to do with the timing of the event, but it had been on the U.S. drawing boards for some Time. The plan was outlined to the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee on March 1, 2005, by the then EUCOM Commander, General James I. Jones, USMC, in testimony supported by a written report, that included an appropriation of $2.51 billion, U.S. taxpayer dollars, to recruit, finance, train and arm locals sympathetic to U.S. interests and directives, in the Ukraine, Georgia and the Caucasus region. Not only did the U.S. recruit, finance and arm locals in the region, but the Bush Administration deployed thousands of U.S. troops to the region for joint "training exercises" in the summers of 2006 and 2007, co-incidentally, leaving behind 100's of millions of dollars of U.S. military equipment, arms and ordnance.

The Bush/McCain neo-cons, and U.S. military have drawn up plans and re-positioned assets, in the event some unnamed General, feels it appropriate to pull the pre-emptive nuclear trigger. And Just encase our NATO allies
are not up for the fight. Saakashvilli is just one of the many U.S. pons that are being called upon to play. The Bush/McCain neo-cons,U.S. contractors and Big Oil all see fun and profit and want to brawl with Russia.
Comment: #2
Posted by: Don Holmes
Wed Aug 20, 2008 2:45 PM
The only objection I have to this article is the characterization of Georgia's sneak attack on civilians/war crime as "this madcap adventure of Saakashvili". Sometimes, Pat, understatement is inappropriate.
Comment: #3
Posted by: RPin2008
Wed Aug 20, 2008 8:23 PM
Spoken like a true liberal Pat, you shopuld get along well with Ohoma
Comment: #4
Posted by: varner moonh
Thu Aug 21, 2008 10:48 AM
The trouble with the devil in the details is too any devils to name without heading down the conspiracy theory path and losing the "Average American." For this reason, I was actually impressed with Pat's editorial. I think that regardless of anyone's political persuasion, conservative, progressive, moderate, "left-wing-liberal," libertarian..., Russia/US relations is not on the radar screen in a productive way. They are a large land mass, relatively large population, nuclear-armed, well-heeled in natural resources and high literacy rate country. That is true no matter what your particular political philosophy. So you do not "tell them" what to do, you suggest or request. And if someone remembers history -- quote Reagan's pledges for the kind of post-cold war world he envisioned -- one of his better ideas. Expanding NATO to Russia's borders was NOT a Reagan view. So there is nothing expressly conservative about our attempt at rekindling the cold war, just provocative at a time when we should be aligning for common security.
Comment: #5
Posted by: sanity2008
Thu Aug 21, 2008 12:47 PM
Re: varner moonh

Bravo to Mr. Buchanan for sheding light and objectivity on the Georgian fiasco...Saakashvilli is a moron and any politician who jumps on the bandwagon of his absurd agenda belongs in the same company.

Would the US endorse and accept the Russians setting up camp in CUBA? Hardly.
Comment: #6
Posted by: JPMARINE
Thu Aug 21, 2008 2:46 PM
Pat Buchanan has really become the voice of reason. Bravo, Pat for this insightful, right on the money, look at the Georgian conflict. I firmly believe this to be true. Any reasonable person would be able to turn this situation around and say, "What if Russia was doing what we're doing in Georgia in Mexico?" The U.S. would obviously flip out, but for some reason we feel it's okay to do it in their hemisphere under some cloak of NATO. What happened to avoiding entangling alliances? Guess we threw that part of our founding father's wisdom out years ago.
Comment: #7
Posted by: Mike Liska
Thu Aug 21, 2008 3:34 PM
How could Mr. Buchanan, at the end of this article, be so oblivious as to ignore that all the U.S. Presidents since Kennedy, all nine of them, and still counting, have not exerted the U.S hegemony this side of the Atlantic?
It is understandable that Khrushchev manipulated Kennedy into giving his word not to intervene in Cuba. However, why did all the subsequent presidents keep the Kennedy-Khrushchev Pact in place, when the Soviet Union does not exist?
Comment: #8
Posted by: Laura Vianello Smithies
Fri Aug 22, 2008 1:48 PM
Re: Laura Vianello Smithies
Smithies must be referring exclusively to some dream of invading Cuba. She forgets military interventions in Dominican Republic, Haiti, Grenada, Panama, and what happened to Che Guevera & friends as he was trying to export Castro's communism. She also forgets less-public actions in Nicaragua, El Salvador and Columbia.
My impression of South Florida's Cuban exile leaders is that they still hope to go back to reestablish the pre-Castro dictatorship. That's what happened in Iraq. We put a bunch of bloodthirsty, former exiles back in power so they could beat up n the Sunnis. We don't need to do that in Cuba.
Georgia is not a place NATO should be obliged to defend. It's currently run by a fool who was elected under questionable circumstances. Even if he goes soon, they are likely to put another fool into his place. Interlocking treaties that included the unimportant Balkans were what set off WWI.
We need to stop threatening and even criticizing Russia, put Georgia-NATO on the back burner, and then make nice with Russia again.
NATO should be realigned as a counter to China, not Russia. That would open the door to Russia.
Europe is already dependent on Russia for oil & gas, so Europe is unlikely to mount any strong opposition to whatever Russia does on its borders not contiguous with Europe. Russia is also dependent on Europe as a market for its oil and gas, so the co-dependency goes both ways.
Putin understands all of that. It's time for NATO and the US to start acting rationally and to play the cards we have instead of telling Putin not to play his. None of the current hand-wringing has been of any help at all. We don't need Georgia as an ally if Russia becomes an ally. Russia will continue to keep order in Georgia. I thought Rice was supposed to be an expert at dealing with Russia. Nothing we've said or done about Georgia or Poland reflects any judgment or understanding at all.
Comment: #9
Posted by: Joseph Dimmick
Sat Aug 23, 2008 12:43 PM
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