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John Stossel
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Obama Demagogues Private Enterprise

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Last weekend, President Obama pandered for votes by trashing Social Security privatization.

"I'd have thought that debate would've been put to rest once and for all by the financial crisis we've just experienced," Obama said. "(N)o one would want to place bets with Social Security on Wall Street."

Such demagoguery sells. It's probably been poll-tested. Many Americans fear privatizing anything they've come to view as government work. They object to privately managed roads, independent charter schools, private prisons, etc., despite private companies' repeated success at providing better service while lowering costs.

Private retirement accounts seem particularly threatening. Rep. Paul Ryan includes a version in his budget-reform package. But as The Washington Post said, "(F)ew GOP lawmakers today support the idea...."

What a shame.

Social Security is popular but unsustainable. Its commitments over the next 75 years exceed its expected revenue by $5.3 trillion. Politicians know this, but pander anyway.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid accused Sharron Angle, who's challenging Reid's re-election bid in Nevada, of "raiding" the Social Security trust fund because Angle has talked about phasing out Social Security. There are two problems with that statement — as Reid must know: First, there never has been a trust fund! Your FICA tax payments were not saved or invested. Social Security transferred them to current retirees. Second, in return for IOUs, Congress raided Social Security's budget surplus every year and spent like any other tax revenue.

Now the days of surplus are over. Unless benefits are cut and the retirement age is raised, the deficits will only grow. When Social Security passed in 1935, most Americans died before age 65. There were many workers and few retirees. Ten years later, there were still almost 42 workers for each retiree. Five years afterward, the ratio slipped to about 17 to 1. Now it's 3.4 to 1. Thirty years from now, the ratio is projected to be 2 to 1.

That won't work. Workers cannot afford to give up half their earnings to pay others' retirement benefits.

It would be far better to begin partial privatization now.

But what about Obama's point that President George W.

Bush's privatization plan would have been a disaster because the market crashed?

Obama is just wrong. For one thing, under the privatization plans backed by the Cato Institute and others, retirees and near-retirees wouldn't have been affected by the 2008 stock-market decline. Only younger workers would have diverted some of their money from government to capital markets. They would have had time to recover (unless government continued to screw up and cripple the private sector).

Second, even with the 2008 decline, the picture is not nearly as bad as Obama implies. Andrew Biggs of the American Enterprise Institute ran the numbers for a hypothetical worker who retired in 2008, right after the market crash, after a career under a partially privatized Social Security program.

"A typical retiree in 2008 would be entitled to a traditional Social Security benefit of around $15,700 per year," Biggs writes. "For workers who chose personal accounts, this traditional benefit would be reduced by around $7,800. However, the worker's personal account balance of $161,500 would pay an annual annuity benefit of around $10,100. This $2,300 net benefit increase would raise total Social Security benefits by around 15 percent."

Biggs adds: "While today's retiree would have faced the subprime crisis and the tech bubble earlier in the decade, he also would have benefited from the bull markets of the 1980s and 1990s. The average return on his account — 4.9 percent above inflation — would more than compensate for a reduced traditional benefit."

No can say the future will be like the past, but we know what the future of the government's scheme holds: postponed retirement and/or reduced benefits and/or crushing taxes and (most likely, I think) a near-worthless dollar because politicians will print money to "keep" their deceitful pension promises.

Privatization is better. Everything that works well — everything that brings innovation and prosperity — comes from the private sector. Obama is irresponsible to campaign against that.

There's no ideal fix. But our best hope is separation of economy and government.

John Stossel is host of "Stossel" on the Fox Business Network. He's the author of "Give Me a Break" and of "Myth, Lies, and Downright Stupidity." To find out more about John Stossel, visit his site at johnstossel.com. To read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate Web page at www.creators.com.

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Comments

5 Comments | Post Comment
Taking SS retirement funding away from the robber barons we know as our Congress is the only way future generations have a prayer of having funds available to them from Social Security. If the surplus John S. mentions had been left in the fund instead of robbed by politicians for their pet projects the fund would be flush and then some. Democrats and Republicans are both responsible and we want to turn our health care over to these thieves. What are we thinking?
Comment: #1
Posted by: SteveJ
Fri Aug 20, 2010 1:30 PM
The government only need look at a company like Berkshire Hathaway to see that corporate (and thus private) investment can work, and rather successfully (in case people don't know, their CEO is Warren Buffett, the third richest person in the world). While the federal deficit has passed 10 trillion dollars, this company's vast profits come from one source, investing. In fact, simply modeling your long-term investments after the DJIA would yield a profit (unlike the government, which cannot yield a profit, because every dollar it has is taken, through taxes, from the hardworking men and women of this country).

How can anyone look at the current government policies and think that anything dealing with money would be better off in government hands. Do people really think China will be willing to pay off our social security 50 years from now?
Comment: #2
Posted by: Nathan H.
Mon Aug 23, 2010 12:44 PM
The only reservation I would have concerning privatizing government services is privatizing the justice system. I don't see how that could work on your "for profit/ better service" hypothesis. I think the justice system with all it's problems is better than a private company handling peoples lifes when keeping more prisoners means more profit. Or if their profit was based on less prisoners then there could be more criminals on the streets. I am speaking as someone who has spent some time in jail. I could be wrong.
Comment: #3
Posted by: rverlohr
Sat Aug 28, 2010 10:47 PM
Are we to believe that Obama has no investments and knows nothing about investments -- that he thinks that investing in the stock market is placing bets?

If people properly managed their investments, there would have been no problem for someone nearing retirement due to the stockmarket''s downturn. People should practice assert allocation for their retirement account. An old bromide is that you should have your age as a percent in bonds. This means that every year when you adjust your asset allocation, you would increase the amount in bonds by 1%. So a person nearing retirement would have had over 60% of their money in bonds -- probably Treasury bonds such as TIPS. The result is certainly not betting since the value of their account would have actually increased as interest rates fell.

Actually, people that wanted to be super conservative could have invested all of their money in Treasury bonds and probably would have still received a better return than with Social Security.
Comment: #4
Posted by: James Richard Tyrer
Fri Sep 3, 2010 2:52 PM
Invest in Obama is the real joke that it is. With Obama playing a VC for Solyndra, Sunpower etc. shows that his and ill liberals investments are a waste. The facts are it's overpopulation by extending lives that's more expensive to live that long. We keep poping out babies and letting anyone in our country to steal our money and ruin us within.
Comment: #5
Posted by: Steve
Wed Nov 2, 2011 10:17 AM
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