Pills for Animals Dear Mr. Berko: I have arthritis pretty bad and have been taking a 200-milligram Celebrex pill daily. The pills help, but I still have very bad arthritis pain. Celebrex costs me $5.80 a pill. (I don't have insurance.) I can afford it, but it still …Read more. Stocks for Grandkids Dear Mr. Berko: The grandmothers and great-grandmothers at our bridge club were trying to select the most useful Christmas gifts for our youngsters. We all agree that it's a waste of money to buy toys, which are mostly plastic, or clothing, which is …Read more. Business Development Companies More than a dozen readers have recently asked me to explain how a business development company functions and requested recommendations. Here are your answers. Dear Readers: Business development companies, like venture capital funds and private …Read more. Water Utilities Dear Mr. Berko: What is your opinion of the water industry — especially Middlesex Water Co., which pays a 3.5 percent dividend. We'd like to buy several water utilities to add to our portfolio of telephone, gas and electric utilities. We are …Read more.more articles
GM: Buy the Cars, Skip the Stock
Dear Mr. Berko: Back in 2010, you told me not to buy 200 shares of General Motors at the initial offering price. And I didn't, even though it went higher in price. I now have $100,000 to invest in a growth portfolio that I hope can produce some modest dividend income. At my age, this money will have to do well for me, and I hope it grows to a bigger pile so I can leave it to my grandchildren and future grandchildren.
My broker has recommended that I buy five stocks and invest $20,000 in each issue. I am 57 and need some growth as well as some income from these stocks, which are not in an IRA. And one of the issues that this broker has recommended is 700 shares of General Motors. Please let me know whether your thoughts on this stock have changed before I follow this advice. And if you still do not like General Motors, would you please recommend a couple of alternative issues. I don't want to speculate. Please advise. — LD in Phoenix, Ariz.
Dear LD: General Motors (GM-$26.22) has been selling cars perhaps for a century. And during that time, GM stuck us with some classic clunkers and a few darned good, high-class models, too. But don't concern yourself with leaving your grandkids a sixpence. Rather, worry about making sure that you will have enough income to live with modest comfort in a certain to be difficult economic future for most Americans.
As I told you in October of 2010, prior to GM's IPO, I wouldn't touch the stock with a pitchfork, a stun gun or a cruise missile. GM recently reported the largest annual profit in its 103-year history. Customers are paying record prices for cars and trucks, which has helped revenues rise 62 percent from last year and pushed earnings to $7.9 billion.
Of course, that profit was aided by a free $50 billion no-interest lifeline from U.S. taxpayers, plus $39 billion in liquidity and a bankruptcy that wiped out 75 percent of its debt.
Meanwhile, GM's troubles in Europe today exceed, by orders of magnitude, its troubles in the U.S. four years ago, and the European unions are aggressively resisting GM's efforts, nail and tooth, to lower worker costs and benefits. So far, GM has done some "caving," agreeing not to close any plants until 2016. Last year, GM lost nearly $900 million in Europe, and this year looks just as bad.
However, GM's biggest problem is its net profit margins that really stink. Then, I suspect it won't be long till the UAW begins to agitate for higher wages and demand that the company make significant contributions to its huge pension plan deficit. That's going to be a bear, especially in light of the fact that last January, GM quietly attempted to borrow $14.4 billion from the government for retooling costs (what a mess), and the Treasury said: "No."
Today's GM is the same old wine in a new bottle. This is not an investment quality stock, its revenues are cyclical, its earnings are cyclical, and management is dependent on a powerful union workforce to deliver its product. Sounds like an airline stock to me! I like their cars, but I do not like the stock.
Finally, I think your portfolio should have more than five issues and recommend that you diversify with at least a dozen issues. So have a confab with your broker, and suggest that he include PepsiCo, Yum Brands, Aflac, Hormel Foods, United Health Care, Walgreens, Magna International and Colgate Palmolive. If he gives you any trouble, find another broker.
Please address your financial questions to Malcolm Berko, P.O. Box 8303, Largo, FL 33775, or email him at email@example.com. To find out more about Malcolm Berko and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at www.creators.com.
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