Pension Lump Sum Dear Mr. Berko: I'll soon be 68. I have worked for a large public company for 28 years and will retire at the end of December. The company will give me $1,948 a month for as long as I live, and if my wife outlives me, it will give her $1,663 a month …Read more. Investing in India Dear Mr. Berko: I lost $19,000 in the Chinese stock market because I didn't see the bubble coming. I believe that our market has topped out, and I think the Indian stock market looks very attractive now that China's economy has stalled. What can you …Read more. Money for College? Dear Mr. Berko: Our 20-year-old son will finish high school this December when he completes his online courses. He broke his arm playing varsity football three years ago and can't qualify for a football scholarship. He is a fair student, with minor …Read more. Are Times Changing? Dear Mr. Berko: Some newsletters are becoming alarmingly negative on the economy and the stock market. What is your opinion here? — TC, Wilmington, N.C. Dear TC: I'm concerned but carefully positive until June 2017. The economies of the …Read more.more articles
Don't Trust Him
Dear Mr. Berko: We bought 25 shares of Lucent Technologies Capital Trust, a 7.75 percent cumulative convertible preferred trust, at $542 a share, which you recommended last August. You said that it was very speculative but that the 14 percent yield was worth it if I could "afford the risk." The $13,550 investment represented 1.2 percent of our portfolio, and we were comfortable with the risk.
We found a new broker last October (he talks about running for Congress), and he didn't like Lucent Technologies. He said the interest payment was doubtful, so we sold it at $566, making a tidy $500 profit. With the proceeds, we bought 2,000 shares of Gabelli Utility Trust at $7.71, yielding 7.8 percent, and reinvested the dividends, which we couldn't do with Lucent. He said Gabelli was safer and had less risk. But it's down to $6.70, and we have a $2,400 loss. Lucent Technologies now trades at $881, and we're sorry we sold it to buy Gabelli Utility. Why is Lucent Technologies doing so well when its parent company, Alcatel-Lucent, is doing so poorly, and why is Gabelli doing so poorly when its generous dividend seems so stable? My broker says Gabelli has no debt, zero leverage and no interest costs. What's wrong here? — TL, Cincinnati
Dear TL: Lucent Technologies (LUTHP-$881) was the mighty and prestigious research arm of American Telephone & Telegraph before the Justice Department dissolved the AT&T monopoly in the mid-1980s, thinking that increased competition would lower telephone rates. Today's telephone costs are higher than ever, and the average family (excluding those millions with free government cell service) pays more than $120 a month for cellphone contracts. Alcatel-Lucent, now LUTHP's parent, is a French company with $20 billion in revenues that sells communications and network technology around the globe. Alcatel-Lucent (ALU-$1.66) has three problems: 1) It's a French company, which is not good. 2) Its earnings are not dependable, and therefore 3) some believe that its survival is in doubt.
Gabelli Utility Trust (GUT-$6.70) is a closed-end fund trading at a whopping 24 percent premium to net asset value. Few professionals would recommend a CEF at this dangerously high premium. So it's safe to assume this goof was born on one of those days when the Lord's Parts Department was suffering severe brain shortages and resultantly has a room temperature IQ. He shouldn't be allowed to reproduce. He's dangerous to your wealth and, therefore, eminently qualified to be a member of Congress. And contrary to his analysis, GUT's portfolio is 31 percent leveraged, to the tune of $51 million. But this leverage doesn't represent borrowed funds, because this money derives from GUT's auction market preferred stocks. Every 60 or 90 days, these AMPS mature. So GUT must refinance $51 million at prevailing (auction) rates every few months, and those rates may be higher or lower than previous rates. Recently, these rates have been trending higher, and higher interest costs reduce GUT's payout.
When your brain-dead meathead reviews a financial statement, he should know that preferred stock isn't carried as a debt (though it functions as a debt) and that preferreds pay dividends that are higher than bond interest. And though the GUT common stock dividend has been a steady nickel a month, the dividend slowly will begin its decline like the stock price, which five years ago was more than $10 a share.
A huge 24 percent premium, a declining dividend and rising interest costs suggest GUT must move slowly lower. Meanwhile, GUT's 1.92 percent annual management fee is obscene. Gabelli should be ashamed of himself.
Please address your financial questions to Malcolm Berko, P.O. Box 8303, Largo, FL 33775, or email him at firstname.lastname@example.org. To find out more about Malcolm Berko and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at www.creators.com.
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