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Betsy McCaughey
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Blue States Sinking

Comment

Last week, the National Republican Party issued a report on why it lost the 2012 presidential election. The report belongs in the paper shredder. Look at a map of the U.S., and you'll see why. The Republican Party is already on the way to dominating presidential politics. Red states are on the rise, and blue states are sinking.

In politics, demography is destiny. The biggest mistake the GOP could make is to change course and abandon its current policies. It will soon control an Electoral College majority.

Americans are voting with their feet to live in Republican-run states with low taxes, pro-business environments and job-producing fossil-fuel production. This migration will produce a huge gain for the GOP in congressional seats and Electoral College votes. The U.S. Census shows that from 2000 to 2010, Americans fled Democratic-controlled states on the east coast, the west coast, and the Great Lakes region to make their homes in Republican-controlled states with pro—growth policies.

The population shift continues. Democratic states are shrinking, and Republican states are gaining population. The biggest population losers are New York, California and Illinois. The eight states where the most Americans are choosing to relocate are Florida, Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina and Tennessee — all states with Republican governors.

Chief Executive Magazine gave every one of these rapidly growing states a high grade for business-friendly policies, and it labeled Massachusetts, Illinois, New York and California the states with the worst business policies. But it doesn't take an economist to figure out where the opportunities are. Over the last decade, Americans figured it out for themselves, uprooted their families and moved to red states.

The Southeast, the Gulf Coast, the Rocky Mountain States and the Great Plains are what Joel Kotkin of the Manhattan Institute calls "pro-growth corridors. " Right now, these four pro-growth areas make up only 30 percent of the nation's population, but that figure will rise rapidly.

Newcomers to the U.S. are also flocking to these pro-growth regions.

Republicans should take note of this before recklessly concluding, as last week's report does, that the GOP needs to change its message to immigrants. The pro-business message of the Republican governors is not to keep immigrants away. Between 2000 and 2010, the foreign- born populations of Charlotte and Nashville doubled, according to Kotkin, and the foreign- born populations of Tampa and Atlanta increased by 50 percent.

The evidence is even stronger that the GOP should not tamper with its pro-fossil-fuel energy policy. It's a winner. Americans are moving in droves to fossil fuel producing states. In contrast, California, which refuses to develop its gas and oil reserves, and New York, which foolishly delays fracking to create jobs in its impoverished upstate counties, are losing population and will lose congressional seats and electoral votes in 2020.

A map of the U.S. proves the Republican Party is not on the wane. Americans want growth. They know Republican governors — now presiding in 30 out of the 50 state capitols — are making it happen. Sadly, the GOP bosses behind the 2012 presidential campaign didn't stress how these same policies could restore growth on a national level. Or if they did, the message got lost.

Worse, the authors of last week's report gave economic growth the cold shoulder and whined about CEOs making too much money. Reagan's policies, the report suggested, are 30 years old and therefore out of date. How ridiculous. Low tax and small government policies are behind the current red states boom.

Shockingly, last week's post-mortem also never mentioned the Constitution! Defending the Constitution and personal liberty against government intrusion are the GOP's core mission.

Worst of all, last week's report suggested that to attract minority voters, the GOP should hire Hispanic and African-American communications directors for each state. Wrong again. The Democratic Party is about hiring quotas. The GOP stands for colorblind fairness — hiring people and voting for people based on content of their character, not the color of their skin.

Next time the GOP wants to know about winning, ask the winners — the Republican governors. They are presiding over the rise of the Republican Party.

Betsy McCaughey is a former Lt. governor of New York and the author of "Beating Obamacare." She reads the law so you don't have to. Visit www.betsymccaughey.com. To find out more about Betsy McCaughey and read features by other Creators Syndicate columnists and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate web page at www.creators.com.

COPYRIGHT 2013 CREATORS.COM



Comments

2 Comments | Post Comment
Ma'am;...If it is only holding onto the house by gerrymandering districts, and it can only hope to command the electoral college by gerrymandering those elections, then what you say cannot possibly be correct... That does not mean we are any closer to democracy; but if people are beginning to see through the unholy alliance between religious institutions and big money in republican politics we are that much closer at least...
Clearly you speak for the party that was, and I can see your concern that some better, meaning the same color communicator would get your job... Don't worry... White idiot will still be required to lie to white idiots... If black people could believe their uncle toms, they would already believe those speaking for the republicans... They are unbelieveable, but they are there to prove the republican message can be sold to a black person... Why did the chicken cross the road??? It was to prove to the possum that it could be done... Black people crossing the color barrior of republicanism prove nothing to black people who realize the republicans were forced out of the party long ago... They prove, or rather try prove that something about what the republican party stands for can be kept down in the stomach of a black person... That this is the lie, and that such black people are traitors to their race, to America, and to humanity can be easily seen by the blacks...
The thing about republicanism is that they set such a low bar that democrats can clear it with a step... They don't have to offer the blacks nothing but opportunity and equality to have their vote, and can excuse not delivering on the ever present republican resistence... So, fear not, go forth, and fail as usual... You are gaining nothing as a party but empty acres...
Thanks... Sweeney
Comment: #1
Posted by: James A, Sweeney
Wed Mar 27, 2013 8:37 AM
The fact that Republican-leaning states have gained population with each recent census is not necessarily helpful to the Republican cause. Population growth may upset a state's political complexion depending on the relative number of newcomers and leavers and the (usually very significant) difference in political outlook between newcomers and leavers.
Recent rapid population growth in Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, and Florida was not helpful to the Republican cause because it converted states that had voted Republican for decades in presidential elections into battleground states (all won by Obama in 2008).
Arizona's recent rapid population growth (largely due to an influx of Hispanics and, to a lesser extent, former California residents) has the potential of changing Arizona from a reliably Republican state into a battleground state (perhaps as early as 2016 or 2020).
Texas's recent rapid population growth (largely due to Hispanics) has the potential of changing Texas from a reliably Republican state in presidential elections into a battleground state (perhaps as early as 2020).
Comment: #2
Posted by: oldgulph
Thu Mar 28, 2013 11:45 AM
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