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Predicting the Future at the Iowa Caucuses

by Roger Simon

Reality can be slow, especially on election night, so the media have devised a way to get around it.

Instead of waiting for actual votes to be counted on the night of the Jan. 3 Iowa Caucuses, a consortium of the major TV networks and The Associated Press will conduct an entrance poll to measure how people say they will vote.

Those results will be broadcast long before the official vote is announced and, in some cases, before the voting is finished.

At each of 40 Democrat ...

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