Friday, July 04, 2008 | 8:47 a.m.

Democrats' Dicey Presidential Politics

by David Limbaugh

The Democratic Party cashiered Howard Dean and replaced him, fairly early in the process, with the deeply flawed John Kerry when it became apparent that Dean was unelectable. But what if party honchos, much later in the game, conclude Obama is unelectable? Look out.

Right now, it's premature to conclude that Obama's momentum has been permanently quashed. He won 12 states in a row before losing three out of four Tuesday night. But for a candidate whose main attraction has been his super ...

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Posted by: robert lipka
Comment: #1
Fri Mar 7, 2008 8:58 PM

Lets cut to the chase, Obama cannot win in the general election. The base of his vote is the Black voters. Nationwide they constitute 12% of the registered voters...He already has 84% of that vote if not more. How can he expand his base.....truth be told his is a max limit now. 53% of registered voters are Women. Many of these are older women . Exactly Sen. Clinton's target demographic. Hillery Clinton can eat into this huge portion of the voters and come away with a solid victory. Obama has peaked. He will maybe pick up Wyoming and Mississippi on the downslide and then the frying pan will hit him in the face in Pennsylvania. He will get a lynn Swann-like vote in Pennsylvania. And he will defiantely not carry the entire Northern half of the state. Obama's only hope is to garner votes in Philadelphia and harrisburgh and Parts of Pittsburgh. I see a Clinton victory in Pennsylvania of landslide proportions well over 60% A similar 60% win in West Virginia and Kentucky are waiting for Sen. Clinton. Puerto Rico will go solidly for Clinton as well..... That leaves only Oregon Indiana and South Dakota and Montana. Only in Oregon does Obama have any traction left. Indiana is a toss-up but recent bad reports out of the REZKO trial may put a fork in Obama's chances these as the press coverage of that trial gets better play in the mid-west states. The superdelegates will truly have no choice but to opt for the clinton candidacy if the hope to win in the fall. The issue of Florida and Michiigan is a total negative for Sen obama if he sticks to refusing to seat those delegations... A huge disaster is awaiting the Democratic party if Obama is the nominee.. many of the 2,300 dollar donors to the Obama campaign are republicans who realize this and are trying to assure that Obama is the nominee by making huge contributions. Robert Lipka

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