I've always thought that "national horserace" polls in presidential elections are silly, even though my firm must conduct them, too. We all learned dramatically in 2000 that the popular vote of the nation as a whole means nothing if a candidate doesn't carry the electoral vote — and that means winning key "swing" states.

The same is true for national polls on issues such as healthcare reform. One that caught a lot of flack was a recent New York Times survey. I ...

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